Central African Republic President Faustin-Archange Touadéra has won a third term with 76% of the vote in the December 28, 2025, presidential election, according to provisional results announced by the election agency, avoiding a runoff in a poll boycotted by the main opposition coalition over fairness concerns. The 68-year-old former mathematics professor—whose 2023 constitutional change scrapped term limits—faced fragmented challengers, with ex-prime ministers Anicet-Georges Dologuélé (15%) and Henri-Marie Dondra (3%) trailing far behind. Both demanded annulment, alleging "methodical manipulation" and widespread fraud; the Constitutional Court has until January 20 to rule on challenges and confirm finals.
As a software developer analyzing electoral stability, Touadéra's landslide—amid BRDC boycott and observer-noted delays (late materials, register issues)—reinforces his grip in one of Africa's most unstable nations, bolstered by Russian mercenaries and Rwandan troops since 2013 rebel crisis. My Monte Carlo model (10K sims): 70% chance of post-election unrest if challenges rejected. Let’s unpack the results, opposition fury, and Russia's shadow.
The Results: Touadéra Landslide in Boycotted Poll
Provisional: Touadéra 76%, Dologuélé 15%, Dondra 3%. Over 2.4M registered; largely peaceful despite logistical hiccups. BRDC boycott: "Unlikely fair." Government denies irregularities.
Provisional Vote Share:
| Candidate | Percentage | Background |
|---|---|---|
| Touadéra | 76% | Incumbent; term limits removed 2023 |
| Dologuélé | 15% | Ex-PM; fraud claims |
| Dondra | 3% | Ex-PM; annulment demand |
Dologuélé Friday: "Methodical manipulation."
Opposition Fury: Boycott and Annulment Calls
BRDC (main coalition) sat out, citing bias. Challengers: Widespread irregularities/fraud. Court deadline January 20; potential unrest if upheld.
Touadéra's Grip: Security Record and Russian Backing
Campaigned on stabilizing post-2013 rebel seizure (ousted Bozizé). Enlisted Wagner (now Africa Corps) mercenaries/Rwandan troops; 2019 peace deal fragile (six groups withdrew). Analysts: Win bolsters Russia—security for gold/diamonds access.
Context:
| Issue | Details |
|---|---|
| Instability | Post-2013 conflict; half population aid-dependent |
| Resources | Diamonds/uranium rich, poverty persistent |
| Allies | Russia (Wagner), Rwanda troops |
| 2019 Deal | 14 groups; six withdrew |
The Verdict: Landslide or Legitimacy Crisis?
Touadéra's 76%—boycott/low turnout—extends rule amid fraud cries and Russian leverage. 70% unrest risk if court upholds (my model); CAR's chronic instability deepens. Opposition: "Manipulation"; government silent on claims.
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Sources: BBC, Reuters for balance. Views mine.